Fantasy Basketball

DFS NBA: DraftKings Tip Sheet 2/10

Photo by Jose Luis Villegas/Zuma Press/Icon Sportswire

DraftKings Games to Target

Sacramento at Philadelphia (Over/Under 218.5): It’s a bad basketball bonanza! Both of these teams are awful, and Sacramento has sorta-maybe-probably quit on their coach. For watching basketball, this game could make your eyes bleed, but for fantasy it should be great. You could sell me on most of the Kings players, with Ish Smith being my favorite play on the 76ers.

Houston at Portland (O/U 214): This game boils down to James Harden and Dwight Howard versus Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum to me. All four are in line for good games, specifically the duo from Portland, who face the Rockets after a tough loss last night.

News and Notes

  • Ben McLemore (wrist) is doubtful. At this point, Marco Bellineli is firmly installed as the starter, with Darren Collison in line to see extra minutes at either guard slot.
  • Tim Duncan (knee) and Kyle Anderson (illness) are both questionable. If Duncan is unable to return, David West should remain in the starting lineup.
  • Tobias Harris (ankle) is questionable. Considering it is a lower body injury, and the matchup is awful, I would probably avoid him even if he does play.
  • Marc Gasol has a broken foot and may miss the rest of the regular season. At this point, the Grizzlies may be forced to play Zach Randolph at center, at least until Brandan Wright returns. Furthermore, it is unlikely the Grizzlies will be a matchup to avoid for bigs with their biggest defensive presence out.
  • Darrell Arthur (quad) is a game-time decision. The Nuggets have a plethora of bigs, and the only ones that are fantasy relevant at the moment are Kenneth Faried and Nikola Jokic.
  • Ersan Ilyasova (illness) is doubtful. Anthony Tolliver would likely start in his place, but he is an untrustworthy fantasy consideration, even with extended minutes.
  • Mike Dunleavy (back) is probable. Once he rounds back into shape, he could serve as an occasional option at small forward at a cheap price, but not yet.
  • James Johnson (ankle) is doubtful. Norman Powell would start in his place, but Terrence Ross will see his fair share of minutes at the position.
  • Trey Burke (illness) is doubtful. Raul Neto will see most of the minutes at point guard, but the matchup with Jrue Holiday isn’t a good one.
  • Tyreke Evans (knee) will be out for the year after undergoing surgery. Norris Cole should retain his fantasy relevance throughout this year, with Bryce Dejean-Jones a possibility if he is signed for the rest of the season.
  • Kobe Bryant (shoulder) and Roy Hibbert (ankle) are questionable for the Lakers. With this being his last game in Cleveland against LeBron James, I would expect Kobe to play. Hibbert is not a fantasy consideration right now, given his role.
  • Noah Vonleh (ankle) is probable. He should slot back into the starting lineup, though, that doesn’t mean much given his lack of production.

Point Guard

Stud to Target

Rajon Rondo, SAC ($8,100): DraftKings has Rondo valued pretty low given the production and the spot, as he is about to square off against one of the worst teams in the league after dropping 44 DraftKings points or greater in each of his last three games. 40 DraftKings points will get it done for him tonight, and there is certainly upside for more than that.

Others to consider: Ish Smtih, PHI ($7,200) – Damian Lillard, POR ($9,200) – Kyle Lowry, TOR ($8,500)

Value Play

Elfrid Payton, ORL ($5,100): Payton’s matchup with the Spurs is bad, but his price is just too good not to consider him on this slate. The Spurs are most vulnerable against point guards, are on the second night of a back-to-back, and Payton managed 27 DraftKings points against them in San Antonio a week or so ago.

Shooting Guard

Stud to Target

C.J. McCollum, POR ($7,100): McCollum has turned it on over his last few games, and will match up with a tired James Harden in this one. He has hit over 30 DraftKings points in each of his last four games, including a performance of 36 DraftKings points against Houston last Saturday.

Others to consider: James Harden, HOU ($10,400) – Rodney Hood, UTA ($6,000)

Value Play

J.J. Redick, LAC ($4,900): The Celtics are quietly the third highest team in pace over the last month, setting up a nice game flow for Redick. His price is just right, and the three-pointer bonus on DraftKings is always huge for him.

Small Forward

Stud to Target

Nicolas Batum, CHA ($7,300): Batum is back in full-force, and we should probably keep using him until he falls back to earth a little bit. He has hit at least 45 DraftKings points in three-straight games, and he has topped 50 DraftKings points in his last two.

Others to consider: Kawhi Leonard, SA ($7,600) – Danilo Gallinari, DEN ($6,800)

Value Play

Matt Barnes, MEM ($4,800): The duo of Matt Barnes and Jeff Green will have to soak up some of the time at power forward with Zach Randolph playing so many center minutes, and Barnes is $900 cheaper than Green. The two have similar upside, with Barnes a lower-scoring, better all-around option.

Power Forward

Stud to Target

DeMarcus Cousins, SAC ($11,100): Boogie put up a dud against the Celtics, but I am willing to go back in on him one more time against the 76ers. A dud, this time, would likely confirm that the temperamental superstar has indeed given up on this coach because the matchup is one that he has the ability to absolutely dominate.

Others to consider: Kevin Love, CLE ($7,600) – Zach Randolph, MEM ($6,500)

Value Play

Tristan Thompson, CLE ($5,100): Thompson doesn’t score much, but he usually plays over 30 minutes and rebounds like a maniac. The offense should flow a little easier for him against the Lakers, who have one of the worst defenses in the league.

Center

Stud to Target

Al Horford, ATL ($6,600): The Bulls are awful against bigs, and Horford already boasts the ability to put up a variety of stats, making this a very intriguing spot for him. In their last matchup, Horford dropped 66 DraftKings points.

Others to consider: Pau Gasol, CHI ($9,000) – Andre Drummond, DET ($8,000)

Value Play

Mason Plumlee, POR ($4,800): Plumlee has done well against the Rockets this season, averaging 28 DraftKings points in two contests against them. The minutes are typically in the low to mid 20s, though he could see a bump to matchup with Dwight Howard.

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